May 16, 2005

"for Canada is in meltdown"

May 16 - The British media are noticing what is going on here (Your Majesty, this trip could get political.)

The Daily Telegraph notes that the Queen's trip here could be delayed if

... her private secretary, Sir Robin Janvrin, answers his phone between now and then to an apologetic Canadian prime minister delivering the news: "It's all off." For Canada is in political meltdown.

The Liberal government is teetering on the brink of collapse and, should prime minister Paul Martin fall before the Queen is airborne his advice could be to stay at home.

His demise will automatically trigger a general election, and Canada in the middle of an election campaign is no place for a Queen who has avoided political hot potatoes throughout her 53-year reign.

Mr Martin has so far staved off a vote of confidence over allegations that the Liberal government gave millions of dollars in contracts to firms in Quebec, with many of those firms, allegedly, then paying kickbacks to the Liberal Party.

But, under pressure from Conservatives, he is being forced to hold one on Thursday when parliament gathers to vote on his federal budget. That is two days into the Queen's nine-day tour of Saskatchewan and Alberta.

If he is still standing by the time she touches down, the prediction is he will lose the May 19 vote.

Thus the man who greets the Queen as her prime minister at the bottom of the runway steps at Regina may no longer be her prime minister two days later.

The article goes on to question what would happen at government functions held in her honour should there be no government.

(And yes, the facts as reported are somewhat off.)

And, for all you Constitutionalists, Pixy Misa compares today's situation in Canada to a 1975 incident in Australia in which the Governor-General recognized and performed his duty.

Posted by: Debbye at 08:41 AM | Comments (3) | Add Comment
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1 My understanding, and this may be mistaken as it's been a while since I read the Canadian Constitution, is that the Governor-General's powers lapse in favor of the Queen while she is in the country. Thus, her presence in Canada in the middle of all this would needlessly complicate things both for the country and for the monarchy. Moreover, the Queen's commitment to remaining apolitical, and the perception of her as a "foreigner" (even though her visit is as Queen of Canada, not of the UK) would likely prevent her from acting as Sir John Kerr did in Australia, at precisely such moments as it may be appropriate, and when the GG might have been prepared to do so.

Posted by: Dave J at May 16, 2005 02:21 PM (kLLbt)

2 I normally have no interest in royalty (anybody's) but it sounds like the Queen's in a quandry. If she shows, she'll be said by some to be supporting a not-quite-legit government. If she calls it off, some will say she's doing the opposite.

Posted by: Jay at May 16, 2005 02:49 PM (PuNh2)

3 Who said that criminal was even the PM in the first place? I'm wondering if fixing elections and stealing money to fund them makes him a legitimate PM under constitutional law?

Posted by: Brian Walsh at May 17, 2005 12:33 AM (vAI+5)

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